img NBA

Los Angeles at Orlando

June 14, 2009
img8:05 PM Eastern
Premium Pick
3 units on 1st ½ Total UNDER 99.5 -110 (risk 3 to return 3)
Result:
LOSS

Outside of the "outlier" game three that was totally not representative of what this series has been about, the UNDER has been overwhelmingly full of value, any way you slice it. These teams had mismatches to exploit in all their other series, and it led to some offensive explosions, but that is not the case here. The matchups have been pretty even, and each team has adjusted well to found weaknesses, and closed them up. We have had two overtime games, and yet both games still went UNDER the total. Orlando now has the gun to their head: win or play golf. That mindset may effect shooting early, as the reality of the moment sets in, but the defense should be the easy part. I expect even more intensity from the Magic here. Outside of the outliner game, these teams have played 12 quarters of basketball and just one of them has scored more than 50 points, and that was 53. If you combine that best output of 53 with any of the remaining 11 quarters from the three normal games, the first half-total would only be exceeded by two of them! The highest total points scored would be 103, the next highest 101. The nine remaining quarters, even combined with the highest quarter would all produce first-half UNDERs.

FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Los Angeles Lakers img
26
30
20
23
99
Orlando Magic
28
18
15
25
86
odds odds
 
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