Los Angeles at Charlotte

The Charlotte Bobcats are a rare team as they are a top five defensive team, yet have a losing record on the season. They have played at home 11 times against the NBA's top 10 in points per game scored, and nine of the 11 have gone UNDER the total. These 11 games were played to an average total of 196, while the average points scored were 184.2, that is 11.8 ppg less than the posted totals in these matchups. Teams that averaged 104.5 ppg were reduced to 93.8 ppg, which would rank No. 28 in the NBA. In turn, the Lakers have played against 12 teams on the road in the top 10 in defensive points allowed. They have averaged less than 100 points per game against these teams. Charlotte is also 20-7 to the UNDER at home against teams with a .600 winning percentage or higher and after an ATS loss, the Lakers are 8-1-1 ATS to the UNDER. I like this one to end up UNDER the total.