Los Angeles at St. Louis

The Dodgers are just 3-6 in Clayton Kershaw’s last nine starts, in spite of the fact he gave up no earned runs in three of them. Two still resulted in losses. That is because the underbelly of the Dodgers’ pen is just not good and Kershaw has yet to make it into the 7th inning in any start, failing to get past five innings in more than half of his 11 starts. Even when he pitches well the Dodgers have a tough time winning. Kyle Lohse has been brilliant for the Cards where he is 13-3 with a 3.73 ERA, and the Cards have now won 12 of his last 15 starts and seven of his last eight at home. This matchup is much more favorable for the Cards than the odds are allowing for, so we will take the value and grab the Cards as a home favorite of much less than what they should be.