Los Angeles at San Francisco

You don't get much lower than this posted total, but I don't think it's low enough. Clayton Kershaw is 10-5 thanks to a 2.96 ERA. Matt Cain owns a 3.14 ERA. At home, it drops to 2.75 and over his last three starts, he's gone an average of 7.3 innings, allowing just 11 hits and 5 total runs. The Dodgers are averaging 2.1 runs per game over their last seven and the Giants have struggled offensively all season long. When facing a NL pitcher with an ERA of 3.00 or better at home, the Giants are 9-1 UNDER this season. Matt Cain is 11-3 UNDER this season vs. teams that strike out 7+ times per game. He's also a perfect 8-0 UNDER this season when pitching against a division opponent. This one goes UNDER.