Los Angeles at Philadelphia

Cole Hamels gets the ball for the Phillies here while Derek Lowe gets the assignment for the Dodgers. Both of these pitchers had fast finishes to the regular season, and have been pitching well. The Phillies and Dodgers have played to a 4-4 mark this season, but what looks like even is really not. The Dodgers were swept clean in Philly, four straight, and not a single one of the games was even competitive. The Phillies slugged and pitched their way to a 27-5 advantage, out-scoring the Dodgers 6.8-1.3. That has been one of the Dodgers problems all season long. They have the worst road record of any team left in the post-season. The Phillies have been a super team down the stretch at home as they are 20-6 in their last 26 played here. They are 27-10 as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season. Under Torre the Dodgers are just 4-13 on the road vs. AL East opponents. I like the Phillies here in game one, as well as the OVER. The last six times Lowe has started vs the Phillies the games have gone OVER. The Phillies have played 8-3 OVER vs a team with a losing road record. Finally, when either Hamels or Lowe have pitched this year in a Philles vs Dodger matchup, the average runs scored has been 10.7 per game. Take the home team and the OVER.