Los Angeles at Cleveland

CC Sabathia has been on fire. In May he posted a 5-1 mark with a nutso 1.71 ERA and he clearly has the leg up on John Lackey. Over his last three starts Sabathia has gone 24 innings, struck out 22 and allowed just 3 walks and 3 earned runs. LA hits poorly vs. lefties scoring 3.6 runs per game. Meanwhile, Cleveland pounds righties to the tune of 6.4 runs per game. Teams scoring 5.7+ runs/game facing a very good starting pitcher (ERA under 3.50) after a win by 4 runs or more are 67-33 (67%) over the past ten years. Meanwhile Lackey is 0-8 the last two seasons vs. teams scoring 5.7+ runs per game. Indians here.