2002 Season NFL Football Past Picks
November 10, 2002
Los Angeles at St. Louis
Sunday 11/10 01:00 PM Eastern
4 units on Los Angeles +6 (-110) (risk 4 to return 7.64) RESULT: WIN
Anytime I can get six points with a potential SuperBowl team, I am interested. Yes, St. Louis has looked great the last three games. Yes, San Diego got blown out by one of the worst teams in football last week. And you guessed it, the public is overreacting to both of these things. My Power Ratings highlight the fact that San Diego is the better team statistically by a significant margin.
The Chargers bring the 4th best rushing defense in the league into this game and they will need it against the revived Marshall Faulk. San Diego will be ready to atone for such a horrible week 9 showing. Believe that Marty Schottenheimer is preparing his team to avoid another embarrassing defeat.
Underdogs following an embarrassing loss as a big favorite are 65% against the spread in the following week.
Although the Rams are playing like the Rams of old, I think six points is just too much for a game in which San Diego could easily win outright. I don’t think St. Louis will be able to sustain the level of play they have demonstrated for a fourth straight week.