Las Vegas at Detroit

The Detroit Lions got a huge monkey off their backs last week, as they finally won at Green Bay for the first time since 1991. It isn't as though they didn't try to give the game to the Packers. Detroit missed two extra points and lost an onside kick, but somehow managed to hang on. They will have a hard time getting up the energy for Oakland after such a huge emotional win. It isn't as though the win fixed all the things that are broken. The Lions gained fewer than 300 yards against a team that had given up almost 500 yards per game in their last three, and the Detroit offense has not topped the 19-point mark but once in their last eight games. Oakland broke a stretch of three straight games where they scored 30+ points, but they have surrounded those three games by scoring 20,10, and 14 points, so I wouldn't say that they have found all the answers just yet either. However, the Raiders are an improved team from what we have seen over the last decade of futility. They are catching a bad team at the right time. The Lions offense hasn't been able to score on anyone, and I think Oakland gets enough here to win and cover a lower-scoring game than indicated. The Raiders are off a strong defensive effort, and after allowing 150 yards or fewer in the air, they are 5-0 ATS in the last five occurrences, as well as 6-1 to the UNDER to the same situation. The Lions have dropped five straight at home ATS, and Detroit is also now 12-3 to the UNDER in their last 15 after gaining fewer than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Since the arrival of Derek Carr, the Raiders are a perfect 6-0 ATS followign a big 14+ point loss. And over the past three seasons, Detroit is 8-21 ATS after September and 3-11 ATS following a win. Under Jim Caldwell, the Lions are 5-15 ATS on short rest. Take Oakland as my November Game of the Month and the UNDER in this one.