2018 Season NFL Football Past Picks
December 02, 2018
Kansas City at Oakland
Sunday 12/02 04:05 PM Eastern
1 unit on Oakland +15.5 (-110) (risk 1 to return 1.91) RESULT: win
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 55.5 -105 (risk 1 to return 1.95) RESULT: loss
The way to slow down the speedy Kansas City offense is by going ball-control and Oakland Coach Jon Gruden brings his West Coast, ball-control attack into this one. Oakland is on a 13-5 run UNDER the total, including 7-2 UNDER at home. They are also 16-5 UNDER against the AFC West. The Raiders have only been a double-digit dog one other time this season, allowing 20 points in a loss to the high-flying Chargers' offense three weeks ago. Two weeks ago they won at Arizona as a dog, 23-21, so they've haven't packed in the season. Kansas City is in a sandwich spot, off a showdown with the Rams in a 54-51 loss, with games on deck against the Ravens, Chargers and Seahawks. They come off a bye week and the Chiefs are 8-0-1 UNDER the total when following a bye. Kansas City has been a double-digit favorite one other time this year, topping Arizona just 26-14 as a 16-point home favorite. NFL dogs of 10.5+ points after a loss of 14+ points are 24-7 ATS against an opponent that scored 30+ points the previous contest. In addition, any NFL team that has a losing record and just lost six or seven of its last eight games is 123-74 UNDER the total. Back the huge home dog in a game with fewer points than the oddsmakers anticipate. Play Oakland and the UNDER.