2012 Season NFL Football Past Picks
September 23, 2012
Kansas City at New Orleans
Sunday 09/23 01:00 PM Eastern
2 units on Kansas City PICK () (risk 2 to return 2) RESULT: WIN
I predicted that the Saints would have a rough go of it in 2012, taking them UNDER their season win total as a Top Play. Right now that bet's looking pretty good. This team took a lot of hits in the offseason. They suffered a lot of distractions and their coach was suspended for the season. They are now taking hits on the field, having allowed 75 points in two games. They sit last in the league in stopping their opponent and have allowed an opposing QB rating of 133.25 through two games. Regardless of how good the offense is, you have to stop someone especially as a nearly -10 point favorite. The Chiefs has a very rough go of it and also sit at 0-2, but they have an experienced QB that could be in for a big day against this Saints’ defense. The Chiefs have run for over 150 yards per game, and I'm sure they will be grinding it out here to keep the Saints’ offense off the field. They should have some success with the Saints as they’re allowing 186 rushing yards per game. New Orleans has been poor against bad teams at 5-12 ATS in their last 17. The Chiefs are 8-1 ATS the past three seasons following a road loss as we see lines typically get shaded after a tough game for the Chiefs. Also, in his coaching career, Romeo Crennel is 14-3 ATS after game in which his team allowed 30+ points. Play on Kansas City in this one.