Kansas City at Minnesota

Mark Redman was the lone All-Star from the lowly Royals this year. But he's not pitching like one right now. He's 0-3 with an 8.89 ERA over his last six outings. On the road, he plays like the rest of his team - poorly. Redman is 2-5 with a 6.39 ERA on the road. With him on the mound, the Royals are just 10-32 the past two seasons as an underdog. KC is 18-48 away from home and they travel into the lion's den here. Minnesota is an amazing 44-20 at home - still best in the MLB. Matt Garza isn't a great pitcher but against KC, you don't need one. Backing him up is a bullpen with a 12-2 record, 93% save ratio and 2.44 ERA at home. Not good for the Royals as they are 2-18 this season vs. good bullpens (ERA under 3.33). We get a relatively low price here on the league's best home team vs. the third worst road team. Take the Twins.