Kansas City at Minnesota

Zack Greinke has emerged as one of the top pitchers in baseball, but the problem is that he pitches for a team that is young that does not produce a lot of run support. Scott Baker is becoming a very reliable starter for the Twins. After a shaky start, the Twins were 20-9 in his last 29 starts, 19 of them resulting in 3 runs or less allowed. The Royals have played UNDER to a 38-13-4 mark when facing an opponent that allowed 2 runs or less in their last game, and 28-5-1 to the UNDER with Grienke on the hill, facing an opponent that allowed 2 or less in their last game. Baker has pitched to the UNDER in five of his last six starts in Minnesota vs. the Royals. I'll go with the UNDER here.