Jacksonville at Arizona

The defensive advancement that this Jacksonville team has made from last year may be one of the best year-over-year upgrades we have seen in the NFL for quite some time, especially in an era where scoring is a plenty. The Jaguars gave up 25 points per game last year, but through 10 games this season they are allowing 14.1 ppg. They have held six of their opponents to nine or fewer points, and five teams to seven or fewer. The scary part is that they seem to be getting better as they have allowed just 31 total points in their last four games or less than eight points per game. The offense has done just enough to keep them in the winning column. Arizona has done very little offensively this season, and it has led to seven of their ten games playing UNDER the total. I don't see the Cardinals moving the ball much in this game, and Jacksonville will have the burden of scoring perhaps 30 points to get this one over the total - and they have only topped 30 just once time all season. Play on the UNDER.