Iowa State at Texas

Texas has been one of the top programs in the country in recent years, but I'm not convinced this team is quite on the same level as the last few. The first indication might be from home wins vs Texas Southern, and Texas St. that averaged just 12 points, and neither would of covered what the odds-makers are asking of them vs Iowa St. The Cyclones are an improved team over a year ago, and have not gone down by this many yet this season. A worse Cyclone team vs a better Texas team, ended in OT last year, and I'm not sure that Texas deserves this huge chalk line put out on them here. Cyclones 9-4-1 ATS vs big numbers of 13+ and I'll back them in this one, which looks inflated to me.