Iowa at Michigan State

The Iowa Hawkeyes looked impressive last week as they came within a whisker of knocking off one of the top teams in the country before losing on the game's final play 21-19. Iowa is always a dangerous team because they can play defense against almost anyone, as witnessed last week vs. a very powerful Penn State offense. After winning 11 or more games in five of six years, Michigan State took a U-turn last season and went 3-9. It was Sparty's worst season since all the way back to 1982. They followed that season with a 4-6-1 campaign. After two easy opponents, they were handed a 20-point loss against Notre Dame, so this team has a long way back to respectability. I think their recent success has this line inflated, and Iowa appears to be the better team. Make the play on Iowa in this one.