Indianapolis at Tennessee

Tennessee can not only clinch a playoff berth with a win, but it can win the AFC South with a win and a Houston loss in addition to gaining revenge after losing 38-10 to the Colts in November. Indianapolis has the same scenario for playoff possibilities, but the Colts are 3-4 on the road while the Titans are 6-1 at home. Tennessee has won four in a row while allowing an average of only 11.8 points during that span and the Titans come off a 25-16 win over Washington, which went OVER only because of a last-second pick six. The Titans went UNDER by 25 points the previous week while beating the New York Giants 17-0. The Colts have gone UNDER in five of their last six games overall and they are 8-2 UNDER their last 10 versus the AFC South. Also, the Colts are 8-3 UNDER their last 11 road games and 23-6 UNDER their last 29 December games. Indianapolis is 6-13-2 ATS its last 21 games after a win and the Titans are 13-5-1 ATS their last 19 home contests. Marcus Mariota has neck and foot injuries, but is optimistic about playing in this game. Blaine Gabbert is the backup and he threw the game-winning touchdown against the Redskins. Gabbert has thrown for 461 yards with three touchdowns and two interceptions this season. Take the points with the Titans and also back the UNDER.