2007 Season NFL Football Past Picks

September 23, 2007

23

Indianapolis at Houston

Sunday 09/23 01:00 PM Eastern

3 units on Houston +7 (-110) (risk 3 to return 3)  RESULT: PUSH

There certainly is a different feeling in Houston this season as the Texans enter a crucial AFC South game vs. the Colts. The Texans and Colts are both 2-0, and not many expected the Texans to be in this position. With a win, they take control of the division. This is a vastly improved team, and there are big differences on both sides of the ball. The biggest change happened where it matters most - at QB. Matt Schaub was said by many scouts to potentially be a Pro Bowl quarterback, and he has proved them right so far in 2007. He has completed 36 of 50 passes for 72%, with 3 TDs and just one INT. Last year, if this team was down on the road 14-0 early, they would have had no chance. But this year is different as they piled up 34 points and won easily last week. The Texans are averaging 27 points per game and are a team with balance. Ahman Green and Ron Dayne have each carried 31 times, with Green averaging 4.6 yards per carry. The offensive line has allowed just two sacks, while the defense has recorded six. The playmaker on defense, missing from this team in years past, is Ambobi Okoye. The Texans first round pick has two sacks and a forced fumble already. The Colts managed just 6 second half points last week vs. the Titans, and hung on 22-20 by forcing a fumble late. It doesn't get any easier for the Colts this week as they stay on the road. The Colts "A" game has not translated well on the road. They have been out-scored 94-132 in their last five away games, and the win vs. Tennessee was their first in five games on the road. Last year the Colts managed just one road win by 7 points. All other games were lost or won by less than this spread. We like the improved Texans to at the very least keep this close.


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