Indiana at Miami

The defending champs are on a red-hot roll, but they are over valued by oddsmakers as they are on a 2-5 ATS run. And how about the run Indiana is on? Tops in the NBA in rebounding, second in points surrendered, a league-low 41.4 percent shooting allowed and on a 13-5 spread run. The Pacers are 5-0 ATS in their last five road games and 9-3 ATS following a spread cover. The last team to beat the Heat was the Pacers, who have won both matchups against Miami this season, including a 102-89 victory on February 1st that marked the last time the Heat has tasted defeat. Miami is 2-8 ATS against the NBA Central division and 0-5 ATS in their last five home games. Indiana has won eight of its last ten games and the Pacers have limited the Heat to 77 and 89 points in two double-digit home victories this season. Indiana has not allowed 100 points in 11 consecutive games. Indiana matches up well with its height and defense and the underdog is 28-13-1 ATS in the last 42 meetings between these East rivals. Play Indiana.