2015 Season NFL Football Past Picks

October 25, 2015

25

Houston at Miami

Sunday 10/25 01:00 PM Eastern

1 unit on Houston +5 (-110) (risk 1 to return 1.91)  RESULT: LOSS

The Miami Dolphins showed some signs of life after Dan Campbell took over the coaching reigns last week, as they breezed past Tennessee 38-10. But the Titans have some issues of their own, and I think some of the emotion of playing for a coach for the first time will not be present vs. the Texans this week. It is hard to hide from the facts, which say that since 2000 there have been 25 in-season coaching changes, and just four times (16%), did the new coach win his first two games. The Dolphins have another issue with this opponent, as they have never beaten the Texans, losing all seven meetings by an average margin of -6.2 points per game. Sometimes teams just don't matchup with each other. Houston has finally stabilized the QB position as Brian Hoyer has taken over, and has been productive. A stable passing game has benefitted Lamar Miller who ran for 113 yards a week ago and scored once. Miami is also chasing a dark shadow here, one that has left them at 13-37-1 ATS in their last 51 at home vs. a losing team. They are also 23-39 ATS when coming off an upset win as they come back down to earth.Take the points on Houston.



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