Houston at Baltimore

Houston has the unenviable task of trying to contain Lamar Jackson, but the Texans, even without injured J.J. Watt, have the defense to do it as they are #3 in the NFL in rushing defense while allowing opponents 21.2 points per game. Houston has won four of its last five games following a dominating 26-3 victory at Jacksonville when the Texans forced four turnovers. Deshaun Watson went 22 of 28 for 201 yards and two touchdowns with no interceptions, and Carlos Hyde racked up 160 yards on only 19 carries. The game went UNDER by 17 points, and Houston's previous game against Oakland also went UNDER. Houston has covered five of its last six November games, and Baltimore is only 1-6 ATS its last seven home games. Also, the Ravens are 5-12-2 ATS their last 19 games after winning by at least 14 points. The Texans are 11-4 UNDER their last 15 following an ATS win, and they have stayed UNDER six of their last eight against the AFC. Watson is one of the few QBs who can go toe-to-toe with Jackson. Play the Texans and the UNDER.