2007 Season NFL Football Past Picks

September 30, 2007

30

Houston at Atlanta

Sunday 09/30 01:00 PM Eastern

3 units on Atlanta +3 (-120) (risk 3 to return 3)  RESULT: win

3 units on Game Total UNDER 40 -110 (risk 3 to return 3)  RESULT: loss

The Texans have started 2-1 and are suddenly on the radar as evidenced by the fact that they are favored on the road. That's right - the Texans are laying it on the road! We believe in Houston and Shaub but, this week they are officially overrated after their strong start. As far as Atlanta is concerned, the DeAngelo Hall 67-penalty-yards (on a single drive) fiasco will likely go down as the most amazing stat of the season. Atlanta outgained Carolina 442-313 and could have easily won last week. They lost though and as a result, they are a bit underrated. Joey Harrington has actually done much better than many expected. He comes in with a good QB rating of 90.6 with just two INTs. Warrick Dunn has gotten most of the workload in the backfield, but don't be surprised if the ball winds up in Jerious Norwood's hands more frequently this week. The more he touches it, the better the outcome for Atlanta. Norwood has carried 20 times for 4.5 yards per carry. He has also caught six passes at 12 yards per catch. Norwood is also returning kicks. He has brought one back 46 yards already and he may break one here. Matt Schaub has been the difference for Houston, but he will be without his two biggest weapons in Andre Johnson and Ahman Green. The loss of Green is significant because no one else has been able to run the ball. The one problem Houston has is they are not a deep team, and have a lot of banged up players right now. Houston has lost 7 of 10 in the role of a favorite, and this is going to be a hungry Atlanta team this week. The Faclons are a little better than most think and in desparate need of a win, and getting a field goal at home. The UNDER has hit in 10 of the last 12 Atlanta home games. Expect Houston's offense to struggle today and for Atlanta to cover and the game to go UNDER the total.


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