Green Bay at Tampa Bay

Green Bay and QB Aaron Rodgers got shut down in frigid Buffalo last week. Think that will happen in sunny Tampa Bay? Not against a Buccaneers' defense that is #24 against the pass and #19 against the run, and #25 in points allowed (26.2 points per game). Rodgers will be motivated to atone for his worst ever outing as an NFL QB. Green Bay which is 8-3 to the OVER in their past eleven games is 4-0 OVER the total after a defeat and 7-1 OVER against the NFC. The Packers have a potent, balanced attack behind QB Rodgers (35 TDs, 5 INTs) ranked #8 in passing and #11 in rushing. The OVER is 12-5 in the Packers' last 17 road games. Tampa Bay will get behind early and have to throw all day long, which increases the chances of a high-scoring game, and they do have excellent wide receivers. Green Bay's defense is not stellar at #15 against the pass and #26 against the run. On the season, they are allowing 26 points per game on the road. The Bucs are giving up 26.2 per game and when they have faced a team with a winning record they are 5-2 OVER the total. This season, the Pack are 7-1 OVER when they face a bad defense like Tampa's (teams allowing 350+ yards per game). This one has all the makings of an offensive show. Play OVER the Total.