This pick was released to clients on January 17, 2020 at 2:41PM ET.
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Green Bay at San Francisco

January 19, 2020
img6:40 PM Eastern
Premium Pick
1 unit on Green Bay +7.5 (-105) (risk 1 to return 1.95)
Result:
LOSS
0.5 unit on Green Bay +296 (moneyline) (risk 0.5 to return 1.98)
Result:
LOSS
1.5 units on Game Total OVER 45.5 -119 (risk 1.5 to return 2.76)
Result:
WIN

Green Bay has impressed in all phases of the game under first-year coach Matt LaFleur. They are on an 11-2 SU, 8-5 ATS run and are 7-1 ATS against winning teams. One of those losses was a blowout defeat at San Francisco, but the Packers have won six straight games since that defeat and are better. The Packers will have offensive tackle Bryan Bulaga back from an injury that caused him to miss most of that meeting. Green Bay has excellent balance on offense and the best quarterback on the field in Aaron Rodgers (28 TDs, 4 INTs in the regular season + playoffs). Rodgers is 76-49 ATS against winning teams in the second half of the NFL season. The weather will be great in the Bay Area this weekend and the Packers are 15-7 OVER the total after getting 250+ yards passing in their previous game. San Francisco's defense finished #17 against the run and Green Bay has a strong one-two backfield punch in Aaron Jones (1,084 yards) and Jamaal Williams (460). Young San Francisco QB Jimmy Garoppolo is playing in his first NFC title game and had 28 TDs, 14 picks counting the regular season and the playoffs this year, along with 38 sacks. Green Bay has been an underdog four times this season and won three of those, 10-3, 34-24 and 23-10. The OVER is also 7-3 when these teams clash, so back the visitors to cover and even win a high-scoring duel. Take Green Bay ATS, as well as on the moneyline and also take the game to finish OVER.

FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Green Bay Packers
0
0
7
13
20
San Francisco 49ers img
7
20
7
3
37
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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