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2007 Season NFL Football Past Picks

September 16, 2007

16

Green Bay at New York

Sunday 09/16 01:00 PM Eastern

3 units on New York -2.5 (-120) (risk 3 to return 3)  RESULT: LOSS

It is easy to look back on the Packers 16-13 opening week at Lambeau and say the wrong team won. The Packers had just 10 first downs and only once drove into Eagle territory, settling for a 37 yard FG. Their lone touchdown came off a Philly fumble (one of three Eagles turnovers). The Eagles gift wrapped the game. The Packers have no running game whatsoever, gaining a week 1 low of 46 yards. That means the Giants are going to come after Favre, and that usually leads to mistakes. Game one was costly for the Giants as they lost Osi Umenyiora, who is at best day-to-day and Brandon Jacobs for a month. They also potentially lost Eli Manning for some amount of time (gametime decision). The Giants have good backups at running back. Derrick Ward ran for 89 yards last game (6.8 per run) and they have Rueben Droughns. All Droughns has done the last three years is gain over 3,200 yards! If Lorenzen goes at QB, he'll do a good enough job. It won't be the Giants offense that wins this game however -  it will be the defense. The Packers are not the Cowboys. They are a one-dimensional team with a mistake-prone quarterback that will be facing a lot of third and long situations. Favre, one of the best early in his career, has been known to cough it up in games like this as he has gotten older. Tom Coughlin-coached teams are 29-15 ATS as a home favorite of a touchdown or less. The Giants will rebound big this week.


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