Green Bay at Detroit

There is a lot not to like about this Green Bay team thus far. They tend to struggle on defense, and the offensive line is thin and highly suspect. That would be enough to implode most teams, but not one with Aaron Rodgers under center. We saw the difference he made last year when he went out with an injury. The Packers barely won a game, tied another, and lost to almost everyone in his absence. He returns and leads them to the playoffs. Rodgers couldn't get it done in the opener vs. Seattle (but who does in Seattle?). But his grit lead them back last week vs. the Jets. Green Bay lost to Detroit badly without Rodgers last Thanksgiving, and this will be a big revenge game for them. Detroit has a lot of talent including their QB, but Matthew Stafford has too many bad or incomplete games. You can usually point to something he did or didn't do that costs the Lions, and they don't have a margin for error against Green Bay. Aaron Rodgers is the difference here. He has gone 10-4 ATS on the road in division games. The Packers are also 48-29 ATS in their last 77 games with Rodgers under center, and Green Bay owns a winning straight-up record as a dog with him. The Packers' defense really found something last week as they allowed the Jets, who had scored 21 first half points, to score just three in the second half. Green Bay is also 5-1 ATS in their last six vs. Detroit - the one loss was without Rodgers. Detroit was limited to seven points last week, and I think Eddie Lacy will have a hand in this game as the Packers need to establish themselves on the ground as they did last season. Take Green Bay and the UNDER in this one.