This pick was released to clients on September 17, 2012 at 10:29PM ET.
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Golden State at Houston

December 5, 2006
img8:35 PM Eastern
Premium Pick
3 units on Golden State +7.5 (-110) (risk 3 to return 5.73)
Result:
LOSS

When a team gets beat by 40 points, it is the most humiliating experience for prideful professional athletes, and they usually come out the next game with their game faces on. We have seen it all season long in the NFL (Cleveland humiliated at home and shutout, comes back and beats the Chiefs this week). We expect a huge effort from the Warriors tonight. Houston has gotten off to a great start at home, but continue to be way overpriced. They stand at 7-1 SU but have been favored in 7 of those 8 and have a 1-6 ATS record when favored. This may be the "Ming" syndrome. it is easy to look at this team at home and want to play them, but they have not only been over-valued this year, but last year as well. They are now 11-24 ATS as a home favorite counting all of last year. They seem to find a way to win most home games, but when they do, it isn't by huge margins. We will take Golden St. who we know will be bringing it after last night, and take the generous points.

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