Georgia Southern at Troy

Winless Georgia Southern isn't getting any respect with this line, but the team had to play Auburn and Indiana on the road and had two other close losses by 10 and 8 points. Georgia Southern has a strong ground attack that is ranked #33 in the nation with 199.8 yards per game, 8-3 ATS on the road against a team with a winning home record. Troy has been overvalued, on a 2-7 spread run. They made huge headlines in September knocking off LSU, but don't forget this team beat Akron (22-17) as -17 chalk, beat New Mexico State (27-24) as a -9.5 favorite, and two weeks ago lost 19-8 to South Alabama as -18 chalk. Senior QB Brandon Silvers has as many TDs as picks (four), leading an offense that is #100 in the nation in points scored (23.1 ppg). Georgia Southern has beaten Troy in each of the last two years, 45-10 and 28-24, including last year as a +7 dog. Play Georgia Southern.