Fresno State at Utah State

Fresno State is still a top 130 team that is 15-11 on the year. They beat Boise State recently by 2 and played Creighton very close and lost by just 5. Yes, this team did lose to Idaho on the road, but then came back to defeat Hawaii in a revenge game. Also, they took it to the wire against Iona and beat Utah State. This team has gotten blown out before on the road including losing by DD at Buffalo and losing badly to Louisiana Tech and Pacific. Yet, the recent history is what is important here. We have a revenge factor here for Utah State but for the given spread as it is now - it is inflated. These two teams hooked up at Fresno State and Utah State in fact lost to this team by 3 on the road. Don't get me wrong, I beleive that Utah State wins this game by the revenge factor as they are the better team, but laying 11 points to a team that previously defeated you is a lot. This team is traditionally just 5-5 against such teams overall and 3-1 at home against them - although they are also 4-0 against teams in the 50-100 range as well. They just barely beat Northwestern State by 3 at home, got beaten by Boise State a top 150 team essentially by 2 on the road, and got pounded by Nevada by 18 at home. Yes, they should bounce back today, but the points are simply too much here. Two stars on Fresno State.