Florida at Tennessee

I said it in the Arkansas write-up, but I'll say it again. Giving a TD+ on the road in SEC play is dangerous territory. There is a payback at play here, as the Vols feel like the Gators ran it up last year at the swamp when they won 59-20. Florida piled on 24 points in the fourth quarter in that one and Tennessee has been promising revenge ever since. Yes, this one has been circled for a year, so you know what kind of energy the Vols will bring. They are 11-2 at home the last two years. Both losses were by a combined 5 points, yet we get over a TD here. Florida does not have the offense clicking and the Volunteers secondary is their strength. The Gators under Urban Meyer are just 2-9 ATS on the road, while the Vols have been a deadly home dog at 4-0 since 2006. With Phil Fullmer at the helm, Tennessee is good after a dissapointing performance, going 50-37 ATS after an ATS loss and 21-10 ATS after back-to-back spread losses. The Vols get the cover, and maybe the win here.