This pick was released to clients on February 05, 2013 at 3:46PM ET.
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Miami at New York

September 18, 2006
img7:10 PM Eastern
Premium Pick
2 units on New York -154 (moneyline) (risk 2 to return 3.3)
Result:
WIN

Three straight losses to Pittsburgh? Talk about letdown for the Mets who could have clinched the NL East with just one victory over the weekend. Well, Pittsburgh is actually decent at home so don't read too much into that. It actually sets us up for a nice game here as the line on the Mets is lower than it should be and they are motivated to get it here at home. They should get it facing Brian Moehler who is 5-8 on the road with a 6.75 ERA. Steve Traschel hasn't pitched all that well this season but he's still 14-7. Backing him up is a great bullpen with a 3.18 home ERA. Florida's has a 6.07 road ERA. Moehler hasn't gone since September 9th and starters working on 7+ days of rest that give up 7+ hits per start are just 36-98 (27%) in the underdog role onver the past five seasons. Moehler is just 3-14 the past two seasons vs. teams that outscore their opponents by 0.5+ runs per game. Meanwhile, Traschel is 17-5 over the past three seasons vs. losing teams. Mets to clinch it here.

 

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