Florida at Auburn

I think this is a perfect spot for the Gators. Their value will never be higher after getting hammered in their last two games. But, those losses came against arguably the top two teams in the nation. Think of this team before the Alabama and LSU games. They were sailing along at 2-0 in the SEC and 4-0 overall. If you think about it, before those two games this line would have been closer to 7 points but we get the Gators at a near pick'em instead. The Tigers’ offense doesn't have Cam Newton anymore to bail them out. After scoring big early, now that they are facing legitimate defenses, Auburn has struggled to 14 and 16 points in their last two games, and Florida has a legitimate defense. The Gators know how to get it done as a road favorite where they are 14-3 ATS in their last 17. The Tigers have not bounced back well after a straight-up loss, where they are 2-9 ATS in their last 11. The Gators, desparate for a win and seeing one in their sites, get a Tiger by the tail here.