Drake at Evansville

Evansville is 8-2 (8-0) at home. While they have played excellent defense, they are 5-2 OVER in their lined games thanks to totals posted too low. I think the same thing is happening here. The Purple Eagles score 75 ppg at home and they wil be facing a defense today that is excellent at home (allowing 58.7 ppg), but pedestrian on the road (allowing 66 ppg). Evansville is 18-8 OVER the past three seasons when facing a team that allows under 64 ppg on average. I like the OVER here.