2007 Season NFL Football Past Picks
October 07, 2007
Detroit at Washington
Sunday 10/07 01:00 PM Eastern
3 units on Washington -3 (-125) (risk 3 to return 3) RESULT: WIN
The Washington Redskins have had to deal with numerous injuries over the past few seasons and it has somewhat masked the potential of this team. This is actually a good team. The Lions are out of the gate at 3-1, after a record-setting 34-point 4th quarter against the Bears. The Lions have had fate on their side (more so than solid play), so the 3-1 is a bit tainted to us. Even Lions WR Roy Williams said this week, "Luck is turning our way." Last week they could do absolutely nothing against Chicago, but the mistake prone Bears fumbled five times in the game. None of those were turnovers, but it did create unfavorable down and yardage scenerios from which their inept offense could not recover. The Lions also benefitted from three Greise interceptions. They were in true Lion form at Philly in week three giving up 500+ yards, and playing themselves out of the game in the first quarter. They needed OT at home vs. a Minnesota team with zero offense and 5 turnovers to squeak out a win. They also needed 16 points in the final four minutes to win at Oakland - a team that hasn't won enough games in three years put together to qualify for the playoffs if you used them for one season. We eluded to the Washington injury woes and the fact that they are coming out of a bye week is a plus for them. Joe Gibbs, when coaching a Redskins team off two straight wins before their bye, has won and covered 9 of their last 11 after the bye. The Lions have been the worst road team in the NFL over their last 50 games, posting a 7-43 SU mark. They've only won three of their last ten road games ATS. And when they are favored or a dog of 5 or less, they are a pathetic 4-14 ATS. The Lions have never won in 17 tries in Washington and they are 0-6 ATS the past two seasons as a road dog of 3.5 to 7 points. We like the Skins to expose the Lions in this one.