Detroit at Minnesota

The Twins seem to put out a good team every year, and are once again off to a good start. Nick Blackburn is a quality pitcher that has made three of his four starts on the road, and should settle down here back at home, where he allowed 3 runs or less in 10 of his last 15 starts. Dontrelle Willis is a wildcard for the Tigers. After struggles and injuries, he seems to have it back, and has allowed just 8 runs in four starts. The Tigers have played UNDER in his last four starts vs. teams with a winning record. Blackburn has pitched to the UNDER, on grass, to a 17-6-1 mark in his last 24, and the UNDER is also 5-0 in Blackburns' last five starts vs. the Tigers. I'll play this one UNDER the total.