2012 Season NFL Football Past Picks
November 04, 2012
Detroit at Jacksonville
Sunday 11/04 01:00 PM Eastern
2 units on Jacksonville PICK () (risk 2 to return 2) RESULT: LOSS
We were on the Jags last week as they went to Lambeau Field with no one giving them a chance. They not only gave the Packers a game, but they had the ball with a few minutes left with a chance to win it. The effort fell short, but they had to leave with renewed confidence. The Lions did not beat a single team a year ago with a winning record, and yet made the playoffs. The schedule has been more challenging this year and they come here at 3-4 on the season. It just doesn't seem to matter who the Lions play as every game is an adventure and seems to hinge on the last possession. They have not beaten anyone by more than 4 points all season, but at the same time they have not lost by more than 8. Every game has been a one-possession game, making the points here important. The fact is that this team has not beaten anyone on the road by more than 3 points in their last nine road games. The Lions are now 8-17 ATS in their last 25 vs. losing teams, so this has all the earmarks of a game going to the last play. The Jags have produced a 9-4-1 ATS mark in their last 14 after rushing for less than 90 yards in their previous game. Play on Jacksonville.