This pick was released to clients on September 20, 2012 at 5:48PM ET.
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Detroit at Chicago

May 13, 2007
img3:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick
2 units on Game Total UNDER 182 -110 (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
LOSS

Put a fork in the Bulls. If it's not this game, their season is ending soon. The Pistons are usually gold in close out games and they appear to be on a mission this season. If they do win this, it'll be their second straight series sweep. They came back from a horrible first half last game to completely shut down the Bulls in the second half. They erased a 19-point defecit to win easily by 7 points. That just goes to show what kind of defense this team plays. They have held the Bulls to 74-of-220 shooting in the series. Chicago knows this and we think they will attempt to match defensive intensity. We don't think the Bulls are going to come out and expect a 50% shooting night and win in a shootout. The Pistons will of course stick with what has worked in games 1-3. With Flip Saunders at the helm the past two seasons, the Pistons are 18-5 UNDER on the road to a total between 180 and 185. They are also 9-1 UNDER in their last ten games following three great defensive efforts (holding opponents to 39% or worse shooting). They are also 13-2 UNDER in their last 15 on the road in the second round of the playoffs. Chicago is 14-1 UNDER at home revenging a home loss the past three seasons (another reason to believe Chicago will buckle down and play defense today).

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