Detroit at Chicago

Detroit is 37-24 UNDER on the season and they are facing an excellent defense here. Chicago has allowed just 2.2 goals per game in home games this season (2.1 in division games overall going 11-6 to the UNDER in these). Chicago has gone OVER in six straight games but home teams off 5+ straight OVERs have gone UNDER 64% of the time the last five seasons (79-44 UNDER). The Red Wings are 21-10 UNDER this season vs. good offensive teams that score 2.9+ goals per game. They are also 11-4 UNDER after a win by 2+ goals. I like the UNDER a lot here.