Denver at Indiana

I expect the Pacers to play better defense as they gave up 135 to the Nuggets in that last game and they won't want that kind of embarrassment again here, at home. The total points the last time these teams met equaled 250. That kind of scoring doesn't usually strike twice, especially when one team will be out to atone for that embarrassment. While both of these teams are known for high-scoring affairs, Denver has scored less than 100 in seven of their last nine games and Indiana has scored 100 or less in five of their last 10 games. In post-All Star play the past three seasons, Denver is 20-5 UNDER on the road vs. teams that hoist 18+ three pointers per game. The UNDER is the play in this one.