Denver at Boston

Denver is a dog, but has more wins than Boston. Denver is a good rebounding team (#5 in the NBA) and Boston is weak under the boards. Both teams played last night and Denver got to rest a lot of players after falling behind at Philly by 21 at the half. They will have their track shoes on to run at a weak Boston defense, one ranked #25 in points scored. The OVER is 6-1 when Denver faces a team with a losing record. Ty Lawson has totaled 49 points in the last two in Boston, while Arron Afflalo is averaging 19.8 points in his past five games against the Celtics. Jameer Nelson had a team-best 23 points in his first matchup against the Celtics since being traded from Boston for Nate Robinson's expiring contract Jan. 14. Boston is off a win at the Knicks, but the Celtics are 5-12 ATS following a win of more than 10 points, plus 16-7-1 OVER the total after a victory. When these teams meet the OVER is 6-2, so look for an up-tempo game and grab the visitors. Play Denver and the game total OVER.