Denver at Atlanta

Denver has a winning road record anchored by great depth and defense, second in the NBA surrendering 104.2 points per contest and No. 1 at defending beyond the arc (32.2%). The Nuggets are 40-22 UNDER the total after playing a road game, plus 19-9 UNDER after playing two straight road contests. Denver is in bounce-back mode after an embarrassing loss at Washington, and the team is 38-21 ATS after allowing 105+ points in five straight games. They head to Atlanta as the depleted Hawks have the worst record in the league. Forwards John Collins (back), Cam Reddish (wrist), and Jabari Parker (shoulder) all missed the last game. Atlanta is on a 2-11 SU/5-8 ATS run and ranks #23 in points scored and shooting, while the defense is second-worst in points surrendered (117.2 per game). Atlanta is 18-7 UNDER the total off an upset win as a home dog, so back the visitors in a defensive duel. Play Denver and the UNDER.