Top pick: #7 (PRIVATE NOTICE) - He drops back down to $10K after a non-threatening third-place finish for twice that price. He's finished second the last two times he raced at this price and can win this with an early move and hold off the presumed favorite.
2nd pick: #8 (Durer) - The presumed heavy favorite drops down to $10,000 for the first time and also goes turf to dirt. Strong finisher will be very tough to hold off and I almost put him on top.
3rd pick: #4 (Prince Jack) - He's finished distant third in three straight including one where "Notice" defeaten him by 8 1/2 lengths. Small slice is his ceiling.