Delaware at George Mason

We usually do not lay a lot of points with a huge favorite but there are times when the value dictates otherwise. Delaware has been a horrible team all season long winning just four games. A closer look shows how they have fared vs. the top teams in the Colonial. They lost by 19 to VCU, 25 to Hofstra, 35 to ODU, and 22 to Towson. They were out-shot 51% to 38%. They were out-shot from three by 48-38%. They made an average of seven more turnovers per game and had nearly a 10 rebound per game deficit. Average loss was by 25.3 ppg. George Mason started slow at 6-7 but since has been 6-2 and is beating up on Colonial cupcakes. They own conference wins both home and away of 18, 25, 21, 29 and 21 points. So we have a horrible team that is worse against the top of the conference playing a team in George Mason that is killing the soft teams. George Mason is 9-1 ATS the past three seasons vs. terrible teams (those outscored by 8+ points per game). They are also 13-4 ATS over that span as a double-digit home favorite. We will lay the points as Mason wins by 20+.