Dallas at Denver

The Nuggets are playing as well as anyone in the playoffs right now. They have really come together as a team, and they have been money at home. The Nuggets ran their home winning streak to 14 straight games and they are not just winning but doing so in a very impressive fashion. The last eight Nuggets wins at home have been by 10+ points, as they are steamrolling everyone. All 14 of those wins would have resulted in an ATS cover of the line posted for tonight's game. They have just two losses the entire season to teams with less than a 65% winning percentage when facing them on their home court. The Nuggets are 26-17 ATS this season vs. teams that allow 100+ points per game. They are also 25-23 ATS as a favorite (including 25-16 at home). Dallas limped into the playoffs losing their last four on the road to teams in the playoffs by a margin greater than the pointspread here. They caught a break against an injured and aging San Antonio team, but we already saw that Denver is ready to make some noise in the 2009 playoffs. The Mavericks bring an 8-17 ATS mark into this one against the NBA's Northwest conference while the Nuggets carry a 38-15 ATS mark in their last 53 as a 5-10.5 favorite. The Nuggets are too hot to ignore, and they are combining motivation with skill right now. That combination often results in playoff blowout wins.