Colorado at Pittsburgh

Pittsburgh has vastly improved its offense from a year ago, 13th in baseball in runs scored and second in on base percentage. They have lefty Jeff Locke going, and the Rockies are 3-1-1 OVER the total against southpaws. The OVER is 5-2-2 in Locke's last nine starts as a home favorite. Speaking of strong offenses, last place Colorado is in town with one of the best offenses in the game, third in runs scored, fourth in on base percentage, and tops in batting average and slugging. They are in last place, though, because of terrible pitching and go with Tyler Matzek (1-4, 4.897 ERA). Opponents are hitting .293 off him, and the team is 0-6 his last six starts. The OVER is 4-0 in the Rockies last four road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600, so look for an offensive show. Play Colorado/Pittsburgh OVER the Total.