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Colorado at Philadelphia

October 4, 2007
img3:05 PM Eastern
Premium Pick
3 units on Colorado +135 (moneyline) (risk 3 to return 3)
Result:
WIN

This game is hard to figure out. There is tremendous value on the Rockies here. The Rockies will come into this game with a 15-1 record over their last 16 games, and have dominated RHP the entire season. The Rockies are now 21-4 in their last 25 against RHP and it doesn't end there. The Rockies, playing at hitter friendly Coors Field, have the lowest ERA of any National League team since the All-Star break. They start Franklin Morales today, who didn't allow a run in his only start against the Phillies, and is pitching to a 1.23 ERA in his last four outings, and the Rockies have won his last five starts. The Phillies have done the bulk of their good work against RHP, and have struggled to a sub-.500 record against LHP. Kyle Kendrick has had a good season, but has been torched by the Rockies to the tune of 17 hits in nine innings over two starts, where the Rockies combined to score 19 runs. That is the other problem the Phillies face here. The Phillies bullpen has carried gasoline to the mound of late. Kendrick has pitched less than seven innings in five of his 20 starts. The Philly pen has served up 25 runs in his last five starts. Compare that to the Rockies’ pen that has allowed four in Morales last five starts. This line is completely out of whack, so we will ride the value and play the Rockies.

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Colorado Rockies
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10
Philadelphia Phillies
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5
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