Cleveland at Tampa Bay

Tampa Bay considers David Price to be the ace of their staff, but clearly the job James Shields has done is more impressive. Shields owns a 2.00 ERA through over 76 innings of work, and has not allowed more than 3 runs in any of his last eight starts, and 2 or less in seven of them. Carrasco has not fared well for the Indians this season with an ERA topping the 5-run mark. But where he has been most effective is against a winning team, leading the Tribe to a 4-1 UNDER mark in his last five road starts vs. a +.500 team. Tampa Bay owns the best UNDER mark for any home team in baseball over their last 52 games here, where they are a sensational 38-13-1 to the UNDER. Play on the UNDER in this one.