Cleveland at Tampa Bay

We are not usually tuned in to heavy chalk, but sometimes there is value even in lines that seem to be laden with chalk. Scott Kazmir has been brilliant on the season and for him, and the Rays this year, there is certainly no place like home. The Rays have put together a 44-17 mark at home, which suggests a better than two-to-one mark with anyone pitching. Plug in Kazmir and the Rays 8-1 home mark in his starts backed by a 1.66 ERA and you have value here. Now turn to the Tribe and Jeremy Sowers and their 1-6 mark in his seven road starts, and two-to-one odds on this game just doesn’t cut it, so we will lay the chalk and take the value it offers here.