Cleveland at Seattle

Cleveland is a long way from home and are on a 5-0 run UNDER the total, as well as 5-0 UNDER against lefties. They have ace Corey Kluber going, though he is just 2-5. Kluber had his third straight strong start on Saturday, giving up just one run on nine hits over eight innings while striking out seven. He has a sizzling 37-1 strikeout-to-walk ratio his last three starts (25 innings). However, he is 0-3 on the road. The Indians are 7-20 during game one of a series, plus 0-5 in Kluber's last five road starts. The UNDER is also 38-17-1 when the Indians face a team with a losing record, as well as 13-3 UNDER when Kluber starts on the road. He faces a weak Seattle offense, but at least the Mariners have James Paxton (3.52 ERA) going, allowing two runs his last 20 innings (3-0). The Mariners are on a 5-1 run, including 9-3 in Paxton's last 12 home starts. Seattle is also 34-15-2 UNDER the total at home against a right-handed starter and the team is on a 42-17-3 run UNDER at home. When these teams meet the Indians are 2-7 in this park, plus the UNDER is 7-1 when they play at Safeco Field. Take Seattle and the game total UNDER.