Cleveland at Minnesota

Cleveland heads out on the road with a pitching staff that is eighth in baseball in team ERA. It's the offense that has disappointed at #22 in runs scored, and #19 in on-base percentage. Cleveland is 18-6-2 UNDER the total on the road, plus 28-12-2 UNDER after a victory. The Indians have outstanding righty Carlos Carrasco (6-3, 3.36 ERA) on the mound, allowing only a .195 batting average to right-handed hitters. Batters are hitting just .191 off him on the road and the team is 10-3 UNDER when he starts. Cleveland is also 23-8-1 UNDER against a left-handed starter and the Twins go with little seen lefty Nik Turley. Minnesota is #15 in runs scored and plays at home in a big park, good for pitchers. The Twins are 11-5-1 UNDER the total at home against a team with a winning road record and this total is too high. Play the UNDER in this one.