Cleveland at Houston

It has been a long time since Cleveland has had a good offense. They have been through more starting QBs than any team in the NFL over the past several years, and still have not found one that can move the ball. The Browns have scored 18 or fewer points in four of their five games. The Browns have averaged 17.2 points per game since the 2010 season. I think that the Browns are going to get some second half opportunities as the Houston offense has exploded with Watson at QB. Houston has scored 124 points in their last three games, for 41.3 ppg. Teams in the NFL that scored 120 points or more in three straight games average 33.6 ppg in their next game, so I expect Houston to keep rolling. The Texans have also played to a 65% mark to the OVER in these games. Houston's scoring will lead to some lightly-contested Cleveland points, so the value in this game is on the OVER.